Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.180240 0.207244 0.238086 0.276171 0.322286 0.376760 0.446642
2025-05-11 0.140361 0.175472 0.220173 0.282374 0.368514 0.486446 0.665354
2025-05-18 0.115734 0.153549 0.205644 0.285002 0.407280 0.596724 0.930585
2025-05-25 0.099082 0.137551 0.193887 0.286160 0.441539 0.709601 1.251964
2025-06-01 0.086452 0.124411 0.182798 0.284335 0.468748 0.818705 1.624231
2025-06-08 0.076268 0.113018 0.171881 0.279539 0.488295 0.919730 2.040878
2025-06-15 0.070412 0.107381 0.169017 0.287642 0.533814 1.091311 2.752389
2025-06-22 0.063470 0.098919 0.159857 0.281876 0.549120 1.201501 3.388509
2025-06-29 0.058874 0.093781 0.155674 0.284759 0.583965 1.376160 4.412584
2025-07-06 0.054163 0.087841 0.149110 0.281350 0.603157 1.518601 5.492523
2025-07-13 0.051155 0.084573 0.147075 0.287133 0.646963 1.758441 7.367340
2025-07-20 0.048620 0.081865 0.145714 0.294098 0.696383 2.048242 10.082653
2025-07-27 0.046131 0.079039 0.143866 0.299956 0.746333 2.381619 14.004703
2025-08-03 0.044047 0.076778 0.142908 0.307927 0.806494 2.808816 20.275874
2025-08-10 0.041777 0.073909 0.140271 0.311159 0.853555 3.225777 28.633974
2025-08-17 0.039594 0.070994 0.137156 0.312537 0.895548 3.664831 40.435751
2025-08-24 0.037389 0.067824 0.133079 0.310519 0.925280 4.075992 55.901647
2025-08-31 0.035177 0.064446 0.128138 0.305167 0.941055 4.430063 75.051871
2025-09-07 0.034056 0.063260 0.128152 0.314224 1.018405 5.295843 127.103569
2025-09-14 0.032124 0.060173 0.123292 0.307779 1.029054 5.706669 175.656390
2025-09-21 0.030885 0.058487 0.121649 0.311002 1.084433 6.576220 297.028958
2025-09-28 0.029375 0.056089 0.117991 0.307192 1.106602 7.208005 459.553682
2025-10-05 0.028485 0.054999 0.117499 0.313656 1.182445 8.539272 966.651025